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- We follow big real-world issues, like wars, prices, climate and health, and only show news that changes them.
- Tap a topic to see The full picture: a plain-English summary where every point links to the story it came from.
- The odds show what could happen next. Make your own call, and follow topics to hear when things change.
Russia–Ukraine war
Russia returns to G20 table in Bangkok on U.S. invitation that angers Europe
Russia’s return to the G20 table has tested how far Washington’s outreach to Moscow will strain ties with European allies.
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PPBS · 6h
Drone strike on ship in Romanian waters raises fear that war in Ukraine is spreading
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PPBS · 6h
Ukraine resumes strikes on energy targets, saying Russia never stopped its attacks
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PPBS · 6h
Ukraine less reliant on U.S. as Trump-Zelenskyy rift deepens, former ambassador says
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TThe Guardian · 2d
Trump targets Ilhan Omar at rally following raid on her home – US politics live
Analysis
Tensions between the U.S. and Ukraine have escalated following President Trump's unilateral announcement of an 'energy ceasefire' and a deal to purchase Russian diesel, which Kyiv warns will fund Moscow's war efforts. As Ukraine resumes strikes on Russian energy targets and faces deadly Russian attacks, European allies are grappling with concerns over regional security and potential sabotage. Observers are watching for the outcome of diplomatic efforts to bridge the rift between Washington and Kyiv as Ukraine seeks continued support from European partners.
3 stories say getting worse
Reported by several outletsForecast
Will the UN General Assembly or G20 adopt a resolution or joint declaration formally condemning Russia's invasion of Ukraine by 2027-01-15?Poll
Should Western countries keep sending weapons to Ukraine?
Poll
Should frozen Russian assets be used to rebuild Ukraine?
Elections and democracy
Trump administration sues California to block counting of alleged noncitizen mail ballots
The Trump administration sued California election officials Thursday, asking a judge to bar the state from counting mail-in ballots for next month's midterm elections from people the federal government has identified as "likely" noncitizens until their status can be confirmed.
+1 more sources-
PPBS · 6h
An accounting of Trump's promised payouts and questions they raise
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PPBS · 6h
Frustrated with Trump, voters overwhelmingly want change, AP-NORC poll finds
- PPolitico · 8m Inside the democratic socialists’ plan to shake up Congress
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TThe Guardian · 6h
Texas sued after glitch delays almost 600,000 voter registrations
Analysis
Recent election-related developments range from runoff voting in Brazil and leadership shifts in Serbia to ongoing legal battles over US midterm ballot procedures and voter rolls. These events impact citizens by directly influencing political representation, the integrity of voting processes, and the stability of governance in their respective nations. Observers are now watching for the outcomes of these high-stakes elections and the broader implications of judicial rulings on upcoming democratic participation.
2 stories say getting worse
Reported by several outletsForecast
Will the 2026 US midterm election results be officially certified in all states by December 31, 2026?Poll
What would most improve trust in elections?
Poll
Should there be age limits for top elected offices?
Analysis
Global energy markets are experiencing significant volatility as shipping costs surge due to tanker shortages and nations like France and the U.S. implement emergency measures, including diesel releases and regulatory rollbacks, to combat rising fuel prices. These developments directly impact consumers through sustained high gas prices and potential shifts in fuel availability ahead of the U.S. midterm elections. Observers are now monitoring the effectiveness of these government interventions and the ongoing diplomatic talks between the U.S. and Iran regarding potential supply stabilization.
2 stories say getting worse
Reported by several outletsForecast
Will the European Union report a diesel supply shortage or implement emergency rationing by January 15, 2027?Poll
How should governments respond to high fuel prices?
Poll
Have fuel prices changed how you travel in the past month?
India's economy and policy
Analysis
India's economy faces conflicting pressures as retail inflation hits a 23-month high, driven by rising food costs, while the government simultaneously pushes for long-term growth through a $25 billion deep tech investment and new green energy policies. These developments impact household budgets and employment prospects, creating a complex landscape for consumers and investors alike. Moving forward, observers are monitoring the government's response to agricultural distress and the effectiveness of new trade and infrastructure initiatives in stabilizing the economy.
1 story says getting worse
Early reportsForecast
Will the Indian government officially launch the $25 billion Deep Tech investment fund by March 31, 2027?Poll
What should India's government focus on first?
Poll
Is GST simpler for businesses than the old tax system?
Inflation and cost of living
Retail sales saw 0.8% bump in September, but big chunk of spending went to paying for gas
Excluding business at gas stations, retail sales rose 0.2% in September. The government figures aren't adjusted for inflation, which accelerated last month as gasoline and many other goods and services became more expensive.
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PPBS · 6h
Wholesale inflation hits levels not seen since 2022
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CCNBC · 2d
The latest inflation data is expected to show price increases are accelerating
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NNew York Times · 8m
Warsh Vows Price Stability as A.I. Delivers ‘Shock’ to Economy
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CCNBC · 8m
Fed's Warsh withholds Fed rate signal, praises recent global tightening with 'no free riders'
Analysis
Recent data indicates that wholesale and retail inflation are accelerating, driven largely by rising fuel costs that are straining household budgets and forcing consumers to make difficult financial choices. As affordability concerns mount, Americans are growing increasingly pessimistic about their financial futures, with cost-of-living issues becoming a central focus for voters. Investors and policymakers are now closely watching upcoming consumer price index reports and Federal Reserve commentary to gauge the persistence of these price pressures.
3 stories say getting worse
Reported by several outlets