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Elections and democracy
Trump administration sues California to block counting of alleged noncitizen mail ballots
The Trump administration sued California election officials Thursday, asking a judge to bar the state from counting mail-in ballots for next month's midterm elections from people the federal government has identified as "likely" noncitizens until their status can be confirmed.
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PPBS · 36m
An accounting of Trump's promised payouts and questions they raise
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PPBS · 36m
Frustrated with Trump, voters overwhelmingly want change, AP-NORC poll finds
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TThe Guardian · 36m
Texas sued after glitch delays almost 600,000 voter registrations
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PPBS · 36m
News Wrap: Trump says Fort Hood shooter's execution will not be livestreamed
Analysis
Recent election-related developments range from runoff voting in Brazil and leadership shifts in Serbia to ongoing legal battles over US midterm ballot procedures and voter rolls. These events impact citizens by directly influencing political representation, the integrity of voting processes, and the stability of governance in their respective nations. Observers are now watching for the outcomes of these high-stakes elections and the broader implications of judicial rulings on upcoming democratic participation.
2 stories say getting worse
Reported by several outletsForecast
Will the 2026 US midterm election results be officially certified in all states by December 31, 2026?Poll
What would most improve trust in elections?
Poll
Should there be age limits for top elected offices?
Analysis
Global energy markets are experiencing significant volatility as shipping costs surge due to tanker shortages and nations like France and the U.S. implement emergency measures, including diesel releases and regulatory rollbacks, to combat rising fuel prices. These developments directly impact consumers through sustained high gas prices and potential shifts in fuel availability ahead of the U.S. midterm elections. Observers are now monitoring the effectiveness of these government interventions and the ongoing diplomatic talks between the U.S. and Iran regarding potential supply stabilization.
2 stories say getting worse
Reported by several outletsForecast
Will the European Union report a diesel supply shortage or implement emergency rationing by January 15, 2027?Poll
How should governments respond to high fuel prices?
Poll
Have fuel prices changed how you travel in the past month?
Russia–Ukraine war
Analysis
Tensions between the U.S. and Ukraine have escalated following President Trump's unilateral announcement of an 'energy ceasefire' and a deal to purchase Russian diesel, which Kyiv warns will fund Moscow's war efforts. As Ukraine resumes strikes on Russian energy targets and faces deadly Russian attacks, European allies are grappling with concerns over regional security and potential sabotage. Observers are watching for the outcome of diplomatic efforts to bridge the rift between Washington and Kyiv as Ukraine seeks continued support from European partners.
3 stories say getting worse
Reported by several outletsForecast
Will the UN General Assembly or G20 adopt a resolution or joint declaration formally condemning Russia's invasion of Ukraine by 2027-01-15?Poll
Should Western countries keep sending weapons to Ukraine?
Poll
Should frozen Russian assets be used to rebuild Ukraine?
Iran and the Middle East conflict
Saudi diplomat says Iran is encouraging Houthi escalation of attacks on the kingdom
The escalation between the Saudis and the rebels in neighboring Yemen has exposed the kingdom's challenges in intercepting the attacks in the latest front in the Iran war, while further rattling global markets.
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NNew York Times · 2d
I.M.F. Warns Mideast War Will Widen Gap Between Rich and Poor Countries
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CCNBC · 2d
Iran reportedly fortifies nuclear sites as it prepares for possible U.S. strikes after midterms
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CCNBC · 5d
Putin relayed Iran war proposal to Trump, Kremlin says
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TThe Guardian · 6d
‘Medieval’ and ‘disturbing’: US plan to livestream execution elicits global condemnation
Analysis
Recent Houthi missile and drone attacks on Riyadh's airport have killed multiple people, prompting Saudi officials to vow a firm response and leading the U.S. to consider military strikes against the group. This escalation threatens regional stability and global markets, while diplomatic efforts remain uncertain as President Trump has reportedly rejected an Iranian proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Observers are now watching for potential U.S. military action and the status of future negotiations between Washington and Tehran.
2 stories say getting worse
Reported by several outletsForecast
Will the United States and Iran sign a formal ceasefire or a new Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) by March 25, 2027?Poll
Should the US take military action if Iran moves closer to a nuclear weapon?
Poll
If shipping through the Strait of Hormuz is disrupted, who should keep it open?
Inflation and cost of living
Analysis
Rising mortgage rates have surpassed 7% for the first time in 20 months, further straining housing affordability for Americans already grappling with stagnant wages and high prices. While shoppers are increasingly turning to bulk retailers like Costco to manage expenses, reports of price discrepancies at major convenience chains and limited grocery access in some areas highlight ongoing challenges for household budgets. Moving forward, observers are monitoring potential policy shifts regarding energy exports and legislative efforts to increase grocery store competition.
3 stories say getting worse
Reported by several outlets