Gas & oil
Brian Sullivan: Why the 'real' price of oil is likely $30-$40 higher than where it is now
Physical oil can cost about $38 a barrel more to deliver, as tanker rates surge.

Global energy markets are experiencing significant volatility as shipping costs surge due to tanker shortages and nations like France and the U.S. implement emergency measures, including diesel releases and regulatory rollbacks, to combat rising fuel prices. These developments directly impact consumers through sustained high gas prices and potential shifts in fuel availability ahead of the U.S. midterm elections. Observers are now monitoring the effectiveness of these government interventions and the ongoing diplomatic talks between the U.S. and Iran regarding potential supply stabilization.
4 stories say getting worse, 2 stories say getting better
Reported by several outletsWill the European Union report a diesel supply shortage or implement emergency rationing by January 15, 2027?
No moves yet. The odds change only when one of the events below is confirmed by at least two outlets or an official source.
These are possible future events Zoose is watching for, not news. None has happened unless it is marked Confirmed.
Started at 35% / 65% on Sep 25. Each event can fire once.
Odds move when a signpost is confirmed by the news.
New forecast: Will the European Union report a diesel supply shortage or implement emergency rationing by January 15, 2027? Starting odds: Shortage or rationing reported 35%, Supply remains stable 65%.
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Gas & oil
Physical oil can cost about $38 a barrel more to deliver, as tanker rates surge.
Gas & oil
Senators told Trump, the deal with Russian President Vladimir Putin "will not achieve just ends, nor will it benefit Americans."
Gas & oil
World Economic Outlook says states’ oil stocks are low and budgets are overstretched, as it upgrades UK GDP growth forecast for 2026Developing nations face triple shock, UN warnsThe global economy “could soon test the limits of resilience”, as emergency oil stocks run low and government budgets become overstretched, th
Gas & oil
Oil prices fell as investors assess potential supply disruptions against prospects of more Russian diesel entering global markets.
Gas & oil
ADNOC supplied more than 500,000 barrels of crude a day to India in 2025, “almost one in ten barrels of [India’s] crude imports”. The company is exploring opportunities with ISPRL to expand storage of crude oil, LNG and LPG, including strategic reserves
Gas & oil
Malawi’s fuel shortage has brought daily life in the capital Lilongwe to a halt.
Gas & oil
US President Donald Trump said Friday that he had secured Russia's agreement for a major release of diesel, as he eased war sanctions on Moscow in a push to lower energy costs ahead of midterm elections.
Gas & oil
Gas & oil
The hurricane could tighten a fuel market that is already facing big disruptions from the wars in Eastern Europe and the Middle East.