Bond yields have surged to multi-year highs as investors anticipate further interest rate increases from the Federal Reserve to combat persistent inflation. This trend is directly impacting consumers by pushing mortgage rates above 7% and threatening to increase costs for other loans like auto financing. Market observers are now closely watching upcoming Federal Reserve economic projections and policy statements to gauge the duration and severity of these higher borrowing costs.
1 story says getting better, 1 story says getting worse
Reported by several outletsWill the Federal Reserve raise the federal funds target rate at or before the December 2026 FOMC meeting?
No moves yet. The odds change only when one of the events below is confirmed by at least two outlets or an official source.
These are possible future events Zoose is watching for, not news. None has happened unless it is marked Confirmed.
Started at 58% / 42% on Sep 25. Each event can fire once.
Odds move when a signpost is confirmed by the news.
New forecast: Will the Federal Reserve raise the federal funds target rate at or before the December 2026 FOMC meeting? Starting odds: Target rate increases 58%, Target rate remains same or decreases 42%.
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The IMF says risks in the government bond market have worsened and that yields could jump sharply and disorderly.
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New York Fed President John Williams sees one more rate hike in 2026 but no additional increase in 2027 as inflation pressures ease.
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Trump tried to fire Cook, a nominee of former President Joe Biden, but the Supreme Court blocked his first attempt.
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Shelton's controversial economic ideas led the Senate to block her nomination to the Fed. Now she's going to be a counselor to the Treasury secretary.