President Trump and Chinese leader Xi Jinping concluded a state visit in Washington, D.C., characterized by high-profile ceremony but few public policy breakthroughs. While the leaders discussed trade and technology, the contentious issue of Taiwan was reportedly addressed only in private, leaving the status of U.S.-China relations regarding the island unchanged. Observers are now watching for future meetings between the two leaders, which both sides confirmed will occur before the end of the year.
Reader odds appear once enough people forecast · resolves automatically from reported evidence.
Will the United States and China sign a formal bilateral trade agreement or memorandum of understanding regarding tariffs before March 25, 2027?
No moves yet. The odds change only when one of the events below is confirmed by at least two outlets or an official source.
These are possible future events Zoose is watching for, not news. None has happened unless it is marked Confirmed.
Started at 39% / 61% on Sep 25. Each event can fire once.
Odds move when a signpost is confirmed by the news.
New forecast: Will the United States and China sign a formal bilateral trade agreement or memorandum of understanding regarding tariffs before March 25, 2027? Starting odds: Formal agreement or MOU signed 39%, No formal agreement signed 61%.
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China–Taiwan
The incremental approval comes as the U.S. and Chinese presidents are due to meet for a third time this year next month.
China–Taiwan
Europe's trade chief Maroš Sefčovič cast the two days of talks with China's Commerce Minister Wang Wentao in Beijing as a positive first step.